The reading list behind a data-driven bettor. I earn a commission if you buy through these links. $15 weekend pass — every FoxEdge play, all weekend. Down units Sunday night = the Wild Card round FREE. winible.com/foxedge
The bible: expected value, bankroll math, and how to think like the house fears.
Sharp Sports Betting by Stanford Wong (2001-09-03)
How sportsbooks actually set and move lines, from people who've been on both sides.
The Logic Of Sports Betting
Risk management and portfolio thinking from a professional gambler.
Conquering Risk: Attacking Wall Street and Vegas
The math-heavy deep end: statistical modeling for people who outgrew the basics.
Weighing The Odds In Sports Betting
The psychology of why smart people bet stupid, and how to stop.
Squares and Sharps: Science & Philosophy of Gambling
How a real edge gets built, quantified, and bet.
Trading Bases: Wall Street Trader's Baseball Bets
Why most predictions fail and how to calibrate the ones that don't.
The Signal and the Noise: Why Predictions Fail
Your brain is the biggest leak in your betting; this is the patch notes.
Thinking, Fast and Slow
Applied sports math you can actually run in a spreadsheet.
Mathletics: How Gamblers, Managers, and Fans Use Math in Sports, 2nd Ed
The hidden biases in how games are really played and won.
Scorecasting: Hidden Influences in Sports
The science of getting measurably better at predicting uncertain outcomes.
Superforecasting: Art & Science of Prediction
Luck vs. skill: the most expensive confusion in all of betting.
